Northampton2 - 0Hartlepool
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, May 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 22 | 80 |
| 4 | Northampton Town | 46 | 22 | 80 |
| 5 | Port Vale | 46 | 21 | 78 |
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Walsall | 46 | -13 | 54 |
| 17 | Hartlepool United | 46 | -20 | 54 |
| 18 | Rochdale | 46 | -8 | 53 |
We said: Northampton Town 2-1 Hartlepool United
Both teams have plenty to play for in the final sections of the season, with each team wanting to push for a promotion into League One at the end of this campaign. Picking up three points here would be important for each squad, and Northampton Town might be able to just edge this, purely down to the home advantage. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 25.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 48.41% | 26.51% | 25.08% |
| Both teams to score 47.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.59% | 56.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.58% | 77.42% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% | 23.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.69% | 57.31% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.97% | 38.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.21% | 74.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 12.91% 2-0 @ 9.39% 2-1 @ 9.08% 3-0 @ 4.56% 3-1 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-1 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.67% Total : 48.41% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 8.88% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 8.58% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.42% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.61% Total : 25.08% |
