Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.