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Championship header 2

League Two
Northampton Town
League Two | 2nd Leg
May 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Mansfield Town

Northampton
0 - 1
Mansfield


Pinnock (87'), Horsfall (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McLaughlin (32')
O'Toole (53'), Wallace (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Northampton Town and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Mansfield
Wednesday, May 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Mansfield Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Mansfield Town (Mansfield to win 3-2 on aggregate)

 Having kept themselves in the tie, Northampton will fancy their chances when it comes to using home territory to their advantage. However, we feel that Mansfield will do just enough on Wednesday evening to come through this tie, potentially benefitting from a goal in the first half on the break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 36.08%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
35.89% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 28.04% (-0.339 -0.34) 36.08% (0.337 0.34)
Both teams to score 47.7% (1.016 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.62% (1.246 1.25)58.38% (-1.237 -1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.02% (0.967 0.97)78.99% (-0.958 -0.96)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (0.63900000000001 0.64)31% (-0.63 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.7% (0.741 0.74)67.31% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.12% (0.84699999999999 0.85)30.88% (-0.837 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.84% (0.979 0.98)67.17% (-0.97199999999999 -0.97)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 35.89%
    Mansfield Town 36.07%
    Draw 28.03%
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 11.21% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.89%
1-1 @ 13.17% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 9.57% (-0.457 -0.46)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.151 0.15)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 11.24% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 7.74% (0.127 0.13)
0-2 @ 6.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.59% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.07%

How you voted: Northampton vs Mansfield

Northampton Town
52.8%
Draw
33.7%
Mansfield Town
13.5%
89
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
2-1
Northampton
Oates (13'), Bowery (32')
Maris (50'), Perch (61')
Koiki (61')
McWilliams (22')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Mansfield
1-0
Northampton
Hawkins (21')
McLaughlin (5'), Hewitt (65'), Stirk (85')

Lewis (75')
Lewis (75')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Northampton
2-0
Mansfield
McGowan (23'), Horsfall (74')
Etete (24'), Horsfall (75')

Charsley (41')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Northampton
1-2
Mansfield
Smith (90+5')
Goode (31'), Oliver (54'), McCormack (62'), Smith (62'), Adams (90+3')
Hoskins (10')
Rose (12' pen.), Tomlinson (74')
Tomlinson (31')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Mansfield
1-1
Northampton
Cook (74')
Clarke (36'), Benning (59'), Cook (72'), Bishop (94'), Preston (97')
Smith (84')
McCormack (12'), Turnbull (38'), Anderson (56'), Watson (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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