Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Mansfield
Wednesday, May 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Wednesday, May 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 22 | 80 |
| 4 | Northampton Town | 46 | 22 | 80 |
| 5 | Port Vale | 46 | 21 | 78 |
Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Swindon Town | 46 | 23 | 77 |
| 7 | Mansfield Town | 46 | 15 | 77 |
| 8 | Sutton United | 46 | 16 | 76 |
We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Mansfield Town (Mansfield to win 3-2 on aggregate)
Having kept themselves in the tie, Northampton will fancy their chances when it comes to using home territory to their advantage. However, we feel that Mansfield will do just enough on Wednesday evening to come through this tie, potentially benefitting from a goal in the first half on the break. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 36.08%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
35.89% ( 0.01) | 28.04% ( -0.34) | 36.08% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 47.7% ( 1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.62% ( 1.25) | 58.38% ( -1.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.02% ( 0.97) | 78.99% ( -0.96) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69% ( 0.64) | 31% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.7% ( 0.74) | 67.31% ( -0.73) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.12% ( 0.85) | 30.88% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.84% ( 0.98) | 67.17% ( -0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
Northampton Town 35.89%
Mansfield Town 36.07%
Draw 28.03%
| Northampton Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.89% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.46)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.07% |
How you voted: Northampton vs Mansfield
Northampton Town
52.8%Draw
33.7%Mansfield Town
13.5%89
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Form Guide
