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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-0 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Scunthorpe United | Draw | Northampton Town |
22.83% | 27.63% | 49.53% |
Both teams to score 42.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.19% | 61.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.4% | 81.6% |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.78% | 43.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.52% | 79.48% |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.8% | 25.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.06% | 59.94% |
Score Analysis |
Scunthorpe United | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 9.14% 2-1 @ 5.28% 2-0 @ 3.83% 3-1 @ 1.48% 3-0 @ 1.07% 3-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.02% Total : 22.84% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 10.89% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 15.01% 0-2 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-3 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 3.99% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-4 @ 1.64% 1-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.07% Total : 49.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |