Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 43.57%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 27.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.