Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morecambe in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Morecambe.