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AFC Wimbledon
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Championship header 2

League Two
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Swindon Town

AFC Wimbledon
4 - 0
Swindon

Bugiel (6'), Little (59'), Al-Hamadi (79', 90+2')
Neufville (13'), Al-Hamadi (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Blake-Tracy (13')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 5-0 Ramsgate
Monday, December 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Accrington 3-4 Swindon
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawSwindon Town
52.23% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 21.95% (-0.02 -0.02) 25.83% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 63% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.66% (0.114 0.11)36.35% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.53% (0.126 0.13)58.48% (-0.123 -0.12)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.87% (0.043999999999997 0.04)14.13% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.23% (0.083999999999996 0.08)41.78% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (0.072000000000003 0.07)26.64% (-0.069999999999997 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (0.091000000000001 0.09)61.87% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 52.23%
    Swindon Town 25.83%
    Draw 21.95%
AFC WimbledonDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.36% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.11% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.04% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 52.23%
1-1 @ 9.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.76% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.81% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.45%
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.0039999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.83%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
AFC Wimbledon
1-5
Swindon
Pierre (8')
Jephcott (16' pen., 32'), Wakeling (18'), Clayton (61'), Darcy (90+2' pen.)
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Swindon
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
> Preview
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 42
AFC Wimbledon
4-1
Swindon
Pigott (20' pen., 54'), Nightingale (26'), Assal (44')
McLoughlin (90+3')
Smith (79')
Grounds (20'), Lyden (26'), Pitman (45+2')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Swindon
0-1
AFC Wimbledon

Stevens (19')
Pigott (28')
McLoughlin (66')
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Swindon
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
Soares (24'), Francomb (41'), Robinson (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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