League Two | Gameweek 1
Nov 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Colchester3 - 1Swindon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Colchester
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Swindon 4-7 Aldershot
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
We said: Colchester United 1-1 Swindon Town
There is plenty of uncertainty regarding how these two teams will fare this season after each losing a significant amount of players during the transfer window so far, but neither side should be majorly concerned about any relegation troubles. With that in mind, we can envisage a decent encounter with plenty of offensive quality on display, with both managers likely to settle for a share of the spoils to open the campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (5.6%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Swindon Town |
37.42% ( 1.23) | 24.07% ( -0.08) | 38.5% ( -1.15) |
| Both teams to score 61.19% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.78% ( 0.5) | 41.22% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.38% ( 0.51) | 63.61% ( -0.51) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( 0.86) | 22.04% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.63% ( 1.29) | 55.37% ( -1.29) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.49% ( -0.34) | 21.5% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.45% ( -0.52) | 54.55% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
Colchester United 37.42%
Swindon Town 38.5%
Draw 24.07%
| Colchester United | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.51% Total : 37.42% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.64% Total : 38.5% |
How you voted: Colchester vs Swindon
Colchester United
73.3%Draw
6.7%Swindon Town
20.0%15
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Form Guide
