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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
Gillingham

Swindon
0 - 1
Gillingham

FT(HT: 0-1)
Mahoney (22')
Clarke (68'), Alexander (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Swindon
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-2 Notts County
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 3-1 Gillingham

 Swindon have been in captivating home form this season, winning their last five encounters at The County Ground and there is no sign of them stopping any time soon. Gillingham have struggled to score all season and the trip to Swindon could be too tough a nut to crack with their current form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 56.16%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawGillingham
56.16% (-1.907 -1.91) 21.81% (0.382 0.38) 22.03% (1.522 1.52)
Both teams to score 58.77% (1.003 1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.15% (0.248 0.25)39.84% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.8% (0.25700000000001 0.26)62.2% (-0.259 -0.26)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.92% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)14.07% (0.504 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.32% (-1.001 -1)41.67% (0.999 1)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (1.56 1.56)31.6% (-1.561 -1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (1.757 1.76)68% (-1.759 -1.76)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 56.16%
    Gillingham 22.03%
    Draw 21.81%
Swindon TownDrawGillingham
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.426 -0.43)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.388 -0.39)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.16% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.74% (-0.245 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.82%
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.078 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 56.16%
1-1 @ 10.04% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.205 0.21)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.312 0.31)
0-1 @ 5.12% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 2.95% (0.21 0.21)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.207 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.167 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 22.03%

How you voted: Swindon vs Gillingham

Swindon Town
81.8%
Draw
0.0%
Gillingham
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Swindon
3-3
Gillingham
Williams (1'), Austin (57' pen., 78')
Dieng (3'), Wright (9' pen.), Nichols (13')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Gillingham
0-0
Swindon
Mnoga (6')
Mnoga (10')
Williams (55')
Mar 13, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 36
Swindon
1-3
Gillingham
Pitman (41')
Twine (76')
Oliver (59', 63'), Dempsey (68')
Ogilvie (47'), O'Keefe (76')
Dec 5, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 16
Gillingham
2-0
Swindon
Oliver (17'), Coyle (80')
Robertson (12'), McKenzie (62')

Payne (25'), Odimayo (42'), Conroy (53')
Feb 28, 2017 7.45pm
Swindon
3-1
Gillingham
Ince (56'), Obika (61'), Branco (75')
McDonald (10')
Wagstaff (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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