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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 56.16%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Gillingham |
56.16% ( -1.91) | 21.81% ( 0.38) | 22.03% ( 1.52) |
Both teams to score 58.77% ( 1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.15% ( 0.25) | 39.84% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.8% ( 0.26) | 62.2% ( -0.26) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.92% ( -0.51) | 14.07% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.32% ( -1) | 41.67% ( 1) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.4% ( 1.56) | 31.6% ( -1.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.99% ( 1.76) | 68% ( -1.76) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Gillingham |
2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 1.82% 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.28% Total : 56.16% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.81% | 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.31) 0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.63% Total : 22.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |