Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.