FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
3 - 2
Colchester

Udoh (22'), Shipley (56'), Hall (79' og.)
Shipley (11'), Bayliss (24'), Winchester (71'), Thorpe (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

McGeehan (10'), Mitchell (86')
Greenidge (28'), Dallison (63'), Read (90+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Shrewsbury Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

Last Game: Wigan 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Colchester United

All competitions

Last Game: Accrington 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-0 Colchester United

Although Shrewsbury have suffered consecutive away defeats, they have performed well in recent games at New Meadow, and we think that they will do enough in Saturday's contest to get the win and extend their unbeaten home run to five games across all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Colchester United
38.88%	26.22%	34.9%

Both teams to score 53.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.79%

51.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.95%

73.05%

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.21%

25.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.27%

60.73%

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.91%

28.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.25%

63.75%

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 38.88%

Colchester United 34.9%

Draw 26.21%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Colchester United
1-0 @ 9.82% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 6.65% 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.41% Total : 38.88%	1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.24% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21%	0-1 @ 9.2% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 5.84% 1-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.9%