League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Shrewsbury1 - 0Derby
Coverage of the League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Derby County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Derby County |
20.44% ( 0.07) | 24.4% ( 0.01) | 55.15% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 48.17% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
