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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Newport County |
41.74% ( -0.01) | 25.74% ( -0.01) | 32.51% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.35% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.3% ( 0.06) | 49.69% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.29% ( 0.05) | 71.71% ( -0.05) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.38% ( 0.03) | 23.62% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.3% ( 0.03) | 57.7% ( -0.03) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.15% ( 0.04) | 28.85% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.29% ( 0.05) | 64.71% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.74% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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