Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Tranmere Rovers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newport 2-3 Salford City
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| 23 | Newport County | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 4 | -4 | 0 |
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 Tranmere
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Grimsby Town | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Tranmere Rovers | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | Bradford City | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
41.8% ( -2.11) | 28.18% ( 1.32) | 30.01% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 46.03% ( -3.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
