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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | MK Dons |
42.34% (![]() | 24.74% (![]() | 32.92% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.86% (![]() | 45.13% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.51% (![]() | 67.48% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.63% (![]() | 21.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.66% (![]() | 54.33% (![]() |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.63% (![]() | 26.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.48% (![]() | 61.51% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | MK Dons |
2-1 @ 8.94% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.6% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 42.34% | 1-1 @ 11.58% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 7.73% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.51% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 3.23% Total : 32.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |