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AFC Wimbledon
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
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MK Dons
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Walsall
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Bradford City

MK Dons
4 - 1
Bradford

Tomlinson (4'), Payne (31'), Dean (59'), Gilbey (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gilliead (17')
Taylor (30'), McDonald (39'), Ridehalgh (52'), Stubbs (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Bradford City

These two sides will still hope to push for a play-off spot this season, with Bradford certainly looking more likely to achieve that based on current form. While MK Dons surely possess too much quality for their winless streak to endure much longer, we can envisage a score draw between these sides on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawBradford City
37.47% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 26.46% (-0.2 -0.2) 36.07% (0.297 0.3)
Both teams to score 52.67% (0.686 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.85% (0.85899999999999 0.86)52.15% (-0.856 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.14% (0.738 0.74)73.86% (-0.733 -0.73)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (0.354 0.35)27.01% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63% (0.46 0.46)62.37% (-0.456 -0.46)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (0.59500000000001 0.6)27.83% (-0.591 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (0.753 0.75)63.42% (-0.749 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 37.47%
    Bradford City 36.07%
    Draw 26.46%
MK DonsDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 9.84% (-0.231 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 37.47%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.52% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.1 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-2 @ 8.05% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.43% (0.087 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.079 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.07%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Oct 7, 2017 3pm
MK Dons
1-4
Bradford
Ebanks-Landell (45')
Gilbey (44'), Aneke (84'), Upson (86'), Lewington (87')
Tshibola (5')
Vincelot (11'), Wyke (18', 71'), Taylor (82')
Knight-Percival (69'), Kilgallon (86')
Feb 28, 2017 7.45pm
Bradford
2-2
MK Dons
McMahon (22' pen.), Wyke (43')
O'Keefe (4'), Williams (35')
Walsh (22'), Williams (69')
Aug 16, 2016 7.45pm
MK Dons
1-2
Bradford
Upson (94')
Walsh (86'), Upson (96')
Cullen (12'), Clarke (17')
Knight-Percival (63')
Feb 9, 2015 7.45pm
Bradford
2-1
MK Dons
Clarke (56'), Hanson (70')
Morais (37'), Meredith (66'), Clarke (72')
Alli (54')
Kay (35'), Baker (37'), Potter (81'), Powell (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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