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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
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Colchester United
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Walsall
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Bradford City

MK Dons
4 - 1
Bradford

Tomlinson (4'), Payne (31'), Dean (59'), Gilbey (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gilliead (17')
Taylor (30'), McDonald (39'), Ridehalgh (52'), Stubbs (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Bradford City

These two sides will still hope to push for a play-off spot this season, with Bradford certainly looking more likely to achieve that based on current form. While MK Dons surely possess too much quality for their winless streak to endure much longer, we can envisage a score draw between these sides on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawBradford City
37.47% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 26.46% (-0.2 -0.2) 36.07% (0.297 0.3)
Both teams to score 52.67% (0.686 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.85% (0.85899999999999 0.86)52.15% (-0.856 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.14% (0.738 0.74)73.86% (-0.733 -0.73)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (0.354 0.35)27.01% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63% (0.46 0.46)62.37% (-0.456 -0.46)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (0.59500000000001 0.6)27.83% (-0.591 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (0.753 0.75)63.42% (-0.749 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 37.47%
    Bradford City 36.07%
    Draw 26.46%
MK DonsDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 9.84% (-0.231 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 37.47%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.52% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.1 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-2 @ 8.05% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.43% (0.087 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.079 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.07%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Oct 7, 2017 3pm
MK Dons
1-4
Bradford
Ebanks-Landell (45')
Gilbey (44'), Aneke (84'), Upson (86'), Lewington (87')
Tshibola (5')
Vincelot (11'), Wyke (18', 71'), Taylor (82')
Knight-Percival (69'), Kilgallon (86')
Feb 28, 2017 7.45pm
Bradford
2-2
MK Dons
McMahon (22' pen.), Wyke (43')
O'Keefe (4'), Williams (35')
Walsh (22'), Williams (69')
Aug 16, 2016 7.45pm
MK Dons
1-2
Bradford
Upson (94')
Walsh (86'), Upson (96')
Cullen (12'), Clarke (17')
Knight-Percival (63')
Feb 9, 2015 7.45pm
Bradford
2-1
MK Dons
Clarke (56'), Hanson (70')
Morais (37'), Meredith (66'), Clarke (72')
Alli (54')
Kay (35'), Baker (37'), Potter (81'), Powell (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cowboys
20-15
Giants
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BarrowBarrow7511113816
2Gillingham7511102816
3Walsall7502114715
4Notts County7421147714
5AFC Wimbledon641194513
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster7412119213
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe741277013
8Bradford CityBradford732297211
9Port Vale73221110111
10Chesterfield723210649
11Colchester UnitedColchester7232121029
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood62318719
13Salford City723246-29
14Grimsby Town7304912-39
15Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
16Newport CountyNewport73041015-59
17Bromley7214911-27
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham7214911-27
19MK Dons721469-37
20Harrogate TownHarrogate7214610-47
21Swindon TownSwindon7133710-36
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle7205814-66
23Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
24Morecambe7025510-52


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