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Championship header 2

League Two
Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Newport County

Mansfield
2 - 0
Newport

Keillor-Dunn (4', 51')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bogle (33'), Coughlan (34'), Bennett (58'), Morris (61'), Clarke (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Mansfield
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Mansfield Town 3-1 Newport County

 With two clean sheets in succession, Newport will have confidence that they can leave Field Mill with at least a share of the spoils. However, we cannot back against Mansfield versus the majority of opponents in this league, resulting in us predicting a hard-earned triumph for Clough's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 20.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawNewport County
56.66% (1.007 1.01) 22.39% (-0.168 -0.17) 20.95% (-0.841 -0.84)
Both teams to score 55.19% (-0.67899999999999 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.17% (-0.313 -0.31)43.83% (0.312 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.78% (-0.306 -0.31)66.21% (0.30499999999999 0.3)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (0.226 0.23)15.27% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.04% (0.428 0.43)43.96% (-0.428 -0.43)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.14% (-0.98 -0.98)34.86% (0.979 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.4% (-1.045 -1.05)71.59% (1.044 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 56.66%
    Newport County 20.95%
    Draw 22.38%
Mansfield TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 10% (0.212 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.274 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.89% (0.216 0.22)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.122 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.029 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 56.66%
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.32% (0.072 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.38%
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.96% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.095 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 20.95%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Newport

Mansfield Town
50.0%
Draw
41.7%
Newport County
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Newport
1-2
Mansfield
Wildig (86')
Boateng (24'), Gale (73')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Mansfield
0-0
Newport
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Newport
1-1
Mansfield
Telford (82' pen.)
Baker-Richardson (74')
Pask (68' og.)
Hawkins (74'), Quinn (83'), McLaughlin (84')
O'Toole (73')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 33
Mansfield
2-1
Newport
Maris (7'), Clarke (43')
Perch (30'), Gordon (68'), Hawkins (74')
Willmott (9')
Abraham (21'), Missilou (33'), Haynes (72')
Apr 9, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 41
Mansfield
1-1
Newport
Sinclair (84')
Lapslie (57')
Labadie (75')
Lewis (81'), Labadie (88')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513
> League Two Full Table


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