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FA Cup
Newport County
FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Barnet

Newport
1 - 1
Barnet

McLoughlin (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Collinge (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Newport County and Barnet, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Newport
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Barnet

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Wealdstone 3-2 Barnet
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League

We said: Newport County 3-1 Barnet

 While Barnet are in the midst of a rut in their league campaign, they do still have the tools to pose a threat to Newport County, particularly going forward. We anticipate them causing problems for the Exiles but ultimately see the hosts booking their place in the third round given their superior quality all over the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawBarnet
40.51% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 24.04% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 35.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.09% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)41.27% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.34% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)63.66% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.44% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)20.56% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.91% (-0.061 -0.06)53.08% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)23.1% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.06% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)56.94% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 40.51%
    Barnet 35.44%
    Draw 24.03%
Newport CountyDrawBarnet
2-1 @ 8.71%
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.94% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 40.51%
1-1 @ 11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 8.07%
0-1 @ 6.96% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 35.44%

How you voted: Newport vs Barnet

Newport County
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Barnet
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2018 3pm
Barnet
2-0
Newport
Coulthirst (10'), Santos (82')
Akpa Akpro (82')

Tozer (23'), Demetriou (43')
Nov 21, 2017 7.45pm
Newport
1-2
Barnet
White (73')
Amond (45'), Butler (53'), O'Brien (70'), Nouble (86')
Akinde (88'), Coulthirst (90')
Santos (44')
Jan 21, 2017 3pm
Barnet
0-0
Newport
O'Brien (74')
Oct 25, 2016 7.45pm
Newport
2-2
Barnet
Tozer (33'), Rigg (89' pen.)
Randall (18'), Tozer (62'), Myrie-Williams (92')
Akinde (76', 85')
N'Gala (58'), Nicholls (68'), Akinde (81')
Mar 8, 2016 7.45pm
Newport
0-3
Barnet

Holmes (23'), Davies (74')
Yiadom (9'), Randall (45'), Jones (69' og.)
rhs 2.0
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