Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.