Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.