Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.