League Two

League Two | Gameweek 20

Dec 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Brisbane Road

Leyton Orient
4 - 1
Swindon

Drinan (19', 60'), Smith (64', 82')
Clay (12'), Kemp (45+2'), Beckles (56'), Ogie (76')

FT(HT: 1-1)

McKirdy (42')
McKirdy (64'), Reed (83'), (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Leyton Orient and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Leyton Orient 2-2 Swindon Town

There is very little to separate these two teams at the moment in terms of form and how they have played throughout the entire season, which is reflected by their league positions. The match is an important one for each club as they continue their respective bids for promotion, but this is one that could easily result in a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton Orient	Draw	Swindon Town
39.11%	28.5%	32.39%

Both teams to score 45.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.64%

60.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.49%

80.51%

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.99%

30.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.86%

66.14%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.63%

34.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.93%

71.07%

Score Analysis

Leyton Orient 39.11%

Swindon Town 32.38%

Draw 28.48%

Leyton Orient	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 12.41% 2-1 @ 7.98% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 0.96% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.48% Total : 39.11%	1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.48%	0-1 @ 11.01% 1-2 @ 7.08% 0-2 @ 5.88% 1-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.28% Total : 32.38%