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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 3
Aug 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Grimsby Town

Notts County
4 - 1
Grimsby Town

Jatta (6'), Crowley (15', 57'), Jones (45+1')
Bedeau (29'), Jatta (65')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Rodgers (45+4')
Green (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Notts County and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 2-2 Fleetwood
Sunday, August 18 at 1pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-1 Grimsby Town

 Everything points to this contest being decided by the odd goal in what should be a competitive fixture. While both teams have momentum, we are backing the home side to come through with maximum points, potentially finishing strong like they did against Fleetwood. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawGrimsby Town
38.67% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 23.89% (0.0039999999999978 0) 37.44% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 61.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)40.32% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)62.7% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)21.02% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.19% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)53.81% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36%21.63% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.25% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)54.75% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 38.67%
    Grimsby Town 37.44%
    Draw 23.88%
Notts CountyDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 7.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 38.67%
1-1 @ 10.85%
2-2 @ 6.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 6.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.44%

How you voted: Notts County vs Grimsby Town

Notts County
59.2%
Draw
14.1%
Grimsby Town
26.8%
71
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Grimsby Town
5-5
Notts County
Rose (7' pen.), Eisa (15', 62'), Clifton (52'), Wood (90+5')
Clifton (87')
McGoldrick (39', 90+2'), Langstaff (45'), Nemane (60', 79')
Baldwin (23'), Robertson (45+4'), Jones (84')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Notts County
3-2
Grimsby Town
Bostock (40'), Jones (50'), Crowley (61')
Palmer (8'), Nemane (45+4'), Stone (89'), Adebayo-Rowling (90+4')
Rose (17'), Clifton (45+7')
Glennon (24'), Rose (25'), Clifton (34'), Conteh (64')
> Preview
May 23, 2022 7.45pm
Notts County
1-2
Grimsby Town
Rodrigues (73')
O'Brien (38'), Brunt (100')
Holohan (90+6'), Dieseruvwe (119')
Clifton (43'), Taylor (70'), Waterfall (85')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Notts County
1-2
Grimsby Town
Roberts (15')
Rodrigues (30'), Brunt (32'), Taylor (79'), Cameron (84'), Lacey (90')
Taylor (76'), Waterfall (90')
Clifton (52')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Grimsby Town
0-1
Notts County

Hunt (86')
Rodrigues (90')
Rodrigues (45'), Roberts (54'), Nemane (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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