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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
37.78% ( -0.38) | 25.41% ( 0.09) | 36.81% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 56.28% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.45% ( -0.41) | 47.55% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.24% ( -0.39) | 69.76% ( 0.39) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.29% ( -0.39) | 24.71% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.75% ( -0.55) | 59.25% ( 0.56) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.76% ( -0.03) | 25.24% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.01% ( -0.04) | 60% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.78% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 36.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |