Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.