MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:58:23| >> :600:1104767:1104767:
Plymouth Argyle
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
Cheltenham Town

Plymouth
3 - 0
Cheltenham

Waine (62'), Hardie (81'), Bundu (84')
Szucs (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pett (19'), Payne (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Plymouth Argyle and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, August 11 at 4pm in Championship
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-2 Newport
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Plymouth Argyle 3-2 Cheltenham Town

Cheltenham will feel that Plymouth's new-look side under Rooney are there for the taking and could push them close on Wednesday. However, we feel that the home side will do just enough to edge this contest, perhaps in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCheltenham Town
40.06% (-1.129 -1.13) 24.18% (0.142 0.14) 35.75% (0.985 0.98)
Both teams to score 60.62% (-0.331 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.1% (-0.508 -0.51)41.89% (0.506 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.7% (-0.515 -0.52)64.3% (0.51300000000001 0.51)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.95% (-0.74299999999999 -0.74)21.04% (0.742 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.15% (-1.169 -1.17)53.84% (1.165 1.17)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (0.301 0.3)23.22% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.88% (0.437 0.44)57.12% (-0.439 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 40.06%
    Cheltenham Town 35.75%
    Draw 24.17%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCheltenham Town
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-0 @ 7.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.93% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 40.06%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.144 0.14)
0-1 @ 7.13% (0.223 0.22)
0-2 @ 5.21% (0.207 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.08% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.54% (0.123 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.051 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 35.75%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Cheltenham

Plymouth Argyle
79.7%
Draw
10.8%
Cheltenham Town
9.5%
74
Head to Head
Jul 20, 2024 3pm
Club Friendlies 3
Cheltenham
1-5
Plymouth
Dulson (19')
Cissoko (27'), Whittaker (29'), Tijani (36', 59'), Hardie (66')
Feb 21, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals
Plymouth
1-1
Cheltenham
(Aggregate 1-1 | Plymouth win 3-2 on penalties)
Hardie (63')
May (49')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Plymouth
4-2
Cheltenham
Scarr (26'), Hardie (28'), Wright (64'), Cosgrove (83')
Perry (40'), May (70')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Plymouth
2-0
Cheltenham
Ennis (14'), Mayor (42')

Colkett (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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