MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 20:35:19| >> :600:429939:429939:
Plymouth Argyle
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
Cheltenham Town

Plymouth
3 - 0
Cheltenham

Waine (62'), Hardie (81'), Bundu (84')
Szucs (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pett (19'), Payne (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Plymouth Argyle and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, August 11 at 4pm in Championship
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-2 Newport
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Plymouth Argyle 3-2 Cheltenham Town

Cheltenham will feel that Plymouth's new-look side under Rooney are there for the taking and could push them close on Wednesday. However, we feel that the home side will do just enough to edge this contest, perhaps in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCheltenham Town
40.06% (-1.129 -1.13) 24.18% (0.142 0.14) 35.75% (0.985 0.98)
Both teams to score 60.62% (-0.331 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.1% (-0.508 -0.51)41.89% (0.506 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.7% (-0.515 -0.52)64.3% (0.51300000000001 0.51)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.95% (-0.74299999999999 -0.74)21.04% (0.742 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.15% (-1.169 -1.17)53.84% (1.165 1.17)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (0.301 0.3)23.22% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.88% (0.437 0.44)57.12% (-0.439 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 40.06%
    Cheltenham Town 35.75%
    Draw 24.17%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCheltenham Town
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-0 @ 7.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.93% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 40.06%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.144 0.14)
0-1 @ 7.13% (0.223 0.22)
0-2 @ 5.21% (0.207 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.08% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.54% (0.123 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.051 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 35.75%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Cheltenham

Plymouth Argyle
79.7%
Draw
10.8%
Cheltenham Town
9.5%
74
Head to Head
Jul 20, 2024 3pm
Club Friendlies 3
Cheltenham
1-5
Plymouth
Dulson (19')
Cissoko (27'), Whittaker (29'), Tijani (36', 59'), Hardie (66')
Feb 21, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals
Plymouth
1-1
Cheltenham
(Aggregate 1-1 | Plymouth win 3-2 on penalties)
Hardie (63')
May (49')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Plymouth
4-2
Cheltenham
Scarr (26'), Hardie (28'), Wright (64'), Cosgrove (83')
Perry (40'), May (70')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Plymouth
2-0
Cheltenham
Ennis (14'), Mayor (42')

Colkett (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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