League Two

League Two | Gameweek 40

Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Poundland Bescot Stadium

Walsall
2 - 1
Swindon

Faal (11'), Johnson (89')
Stirk (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Glatzel (68')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Walsall and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Walsall

All competitions

Last Game: Walsall 1-3 Notts County
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Swindon 3-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Walsall 1-0 Swindon Town

Walsall need points for playoffs but are shaky at home recently. Swindon are in good form but terrible away. The hosts' home record might hold, earning them a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Walsall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Walsall.

Result
Walsall	Draw	Swindon Town
48.96% ( -0.01)	23.05% ( -0)	27.99% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 61.03% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.2% (

0.03)

39.8% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.84% (

0.03)

62.16% (

-0.03)

Walsall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.5% (

0.01)

16.5% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.77% (

0.01)

46.22% (

-0.01)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.08% (

0.02)

26.91% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.76% (

0.03)

62.24% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Walsall 48.96%

Swindon Town 27.99%

Draw 23.05%

Walsall	Draw	Swindon Town
2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.68% 3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 48.96%	1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.05%	1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 27.99%