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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
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Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
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MK Dons
Morecambe
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Walsall
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium
Salford City

Walsall
2 - 1
Salford City

Matt (9'), Faal (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lund (61')
Garbutt (41'), Mariappa (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Walsall and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 5-0 Walsall
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Sutton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Walsall 2-0 Salford City

Walsall retain a slim chance of making the playoffs, but there is little margin for error from here on out. We can see the home side coming away with maximum points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Walsall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Walsall.

Result
WalsallDrawSalford City
51.12% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 22.84% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 26.03% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.98% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.59% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)40.41% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.21% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)62.79% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)15.95% (0.022 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.77% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)45.22% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (0.0049999999999955 0)28.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)64.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 51.12%
    Salford City 26.03%
    Draw 22.84%
WalsallDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.89% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 51.12%
1-1 @ 10.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 4.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.84%
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 26.03%

How you voted: Walsall vs Salford City

Walsall
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Salford City
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Salford City
1-2
Walsall
Smith (15')
Mallan (56'), Ashley (75')
Draper (59'), McEntee (77')
Stirk (76')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Walsall
2-3
Salford City
Matt (62'), Wilkinson (90+5')
Hendry (6'), McAleny (88'), Lund (90+7')
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Salford City
2-1
Walsall
Smith (45'), Watson (66' pen.)
Turnbull (33')
Menayese (34')
Rodney (55'), Kinsella (72'), Monthe (83')
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Walsall
2-1
Salford City
Phillips (1'), Wilkinson (90+5')
Labadie (31'), Menayese (90+6')
Eastham (78')
Lund (73'), Hunter (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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