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Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Sutton United

Salford City
1 - 2
Sutton

Watson (50')
Vassell (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sanderson (45+2', 63')
Smith (20'), Sanderson (56'), N'Guessan (88'), Beautyman (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Salford City and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Salford City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 2-1 Sutton United

Sutton has been stringing some good results together lately, and they are in greater need of points in the fight for survival. However, the hosts have been strong recently as well, and with Salford boasting the home advantage here they could just get over the line and take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Salford CityDrawSutton United
47.55% (0.049999999999997 0.05) 23.45% (-0.13 -0.13) 28.99% (0.084 0.08)
Both teams to score 60.36% (0.522 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.98% (0.662 0.66)41.02% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.59% (0.67100000000001 0.67)63.41% (-0.667 -0.67)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.51% (0.277 0.28)17.49% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.02% (0.478 0.48)47.98% (-0.474 -0.47)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (0.39 0.39)26.85% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.84% (0.50700000000001 0.51)62.15% (-0.50299999999999 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 47.55%
    Sutton United 28.99%
    Draw 23.45%
Salford CityDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 47.55%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 28.99%

How you voted: Salford City vs Sutton

Salford City
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Sutton United
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Sutton
0-2
Salford City

Kizzi (12')
Smith (54'), N'Mai (65')
Smith (23'), Bolton (44'), Lund (77')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Salford City
2-0
Sutton
McAleny (9', 45+1')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Sutton
1-2
Salford City
Neufville (62')
Lund (80'), Watson (87')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Sutton
0-0
Salford City
John (52'), Milsom (84')
Ndaba (86')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 31
Salford City
0-0
Sutton
McAleny (42'), Lowe (61'), Elliott (90+3')
Davis (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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