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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Sutton United |
49.9% ( 0.07) | 23.8% ( -0.02) | 26.3% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 56.95% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.46% ( 0.03) | 44.54% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.09% ( 0.03) | 66.91% ( -0.02) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.07% ( 0.04) | 17.93% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.25% ( 0.07) | 48.75% ( -0.06) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.39% ( -0.03) | 30.61% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.16% ( -0.03) | 66.84% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Sutton United |
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 3.61% Total : 49.9% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 26.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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