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Championship header 2

League Two
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Swindon Town

Sutton
3 - 1
Swindon

Lakin (9'), Coley (48'), Smith (70')
Sowunmi (67'), Patrick (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Glatzel (90+3')
Brewitt (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Sutton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Notts County
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 2-1 Swindon Town

 The hosts are on a better run of results heading into this one, and coupled with the added advantage of playing on home turf, we are backing them to come out on top at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawSwindon Town
46.74% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 23.71% (0.0030000000000001 0) 29.54% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.8% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)41.92% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.68% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)64.32% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)18.16% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)49.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)26.93% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.73% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)62.26% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 46.74%
    Swindon Town 29.54%
    Draw 23.71%
Sutton UnitedDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.31%
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 46.74%
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 29.54%

How you voted: Sutton vs Swindon

Sutton United
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Swindon Town
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Swindon
5-3
Sutton
Young (5', 23'), Cain (16'), Kemp (65'), Hepburn-Murphy (87')
Godwin-Malife (85')
Clay (34'), Goodliffe (39'), Smith (77')
Gray (0'), Milsom (74'), Goodliffe (90+7')
> Preview
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Sutton
2-1
Swindon
Angol (85'), Smith (88')
Austin (14')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
3-2
Sutton
Shade (35'), Williams (38'), Wakeling (90+2')
Randall (4', 42')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Swindon
2-1
Sutton
Davison (14'), McKirdy (49')
Reed (35'), Iandolo (63'), Davison (70')
Reed (90+3')
Kizzi (28')
Boldewijn (49'), Rowe (85')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Sutton
1-2
Swindon
Beautyman (39' pen.)
John (24'), Bugiel (60'), Barden (90+6')
Reed (17'), Williams (31')
McKirdy (87'), Crichlow (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
> League Two Full Table


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