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Championship header 2

League Two
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Swindon Town

Sutton
3 - 1
Swindon

Lakin (9'), Coley (48'), Smith (70')
Sowunmi (67'), Patrick (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Glatzel (90+3')
Brewitt (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Sutton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Notts County
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 2-1 Swindon Town

 The hosts are on a better run of results heading into this one, and coupled with the added advantage of playing on home turf, we are backing them to come out on top at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawSwindon Town
46.74% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 23.71% (0.0030000000000001 0) 29.54% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.8% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)41.92% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.68% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)64.32% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)18.16% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)49.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)26.93% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.73% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)62.26% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 46.74%
    Swindon Town 29.54%
    Draw 23.71%
Sutton UnitedDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.31%
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 46.74%
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 29.54%

How you voted: Sutton vs Swindon

Sutton United
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Swindon Town
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Swindon
5-3
Sutton
Young (5', 23'), Cain (16'), Kemp (65'), Hepburn-Murphy (87')
Godwin-Malife (85')
Clay (34'), Goodliffe (39'), Smith (77')
Gray (0'), Milsom (74'), Goodliffe (90+7')
> Preview
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Sutton
2-1
Swindon
Angol (85'), Smith (88')
Austin (14')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
3-2
Sutton
Shade (35'), Williams (38'), Wakeling (90+2')
Randall (4', 42')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Swindon
2-1
Sutton
Davison (14'), McKirdy (49')
Reed (35'), Iandolo (63'), Davison (70')
Reed (90+3')
Kizzi (28')
Boldewijn (49'), Rowe (85')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Sutton
1-2
Swindon
Beautyman (39' pen.)
John (24'), Bugiel (60'), Barden (90+6')
Reed (17'), Williams (31')
McKirdy (87'), Crichlow (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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