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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 63.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
63.65% ( 0) | 19.12% ( 0) | 17.23% |
Both teams to score 59.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.61% ( -0) | 34.39% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.7% ( -0) | 56.31% ( 0) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.71% ( 0) | 10.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.31% | 33.69% ( 0) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.87% | 33.14% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.26% ( -0) | 69.74% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 8.82% 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.38% 3-0 @ 6.68% 4-1 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 4.08% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.8% 4-2 @ 2.32% 5-1 @ 1.91% 5-0 @ 1.73% 5-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 4.21% Total : 63.65% | 1-1 @ 8.57% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.38% 0-0 @ 3.41% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.12% | 1-2 @ 4.73% 0-1 @ 3.77% 0-2 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.93% Total : 17.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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