Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Salford City |
43.63% ( -0.27) | 23.37% ( 0.06) | 32.99% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 62.86% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.33% ( -0.23) | 38.66% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.03% ( -0.24) | 60.97% ( 0.24) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.88% ( -0.21) | 18.12% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.93% ( -0.35) | 49.07% ( 0.34) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.77% ( 0.01) | 23.23% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.86% ( 0.02) | 57.14% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Salford City |
2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.75% Total : 43.63% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | BarrowBarrow | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Gillingham | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Walsall | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Notts County | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 13 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
9 | Port Vale | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
10 | Chesterfield | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
11 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
13 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Grimsby Town | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
17 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
19 | MK Dons | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 6 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
24 | Morecambe | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2 |
> League Two Full Table |