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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.32%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Swindon Town |
37.24% (![]() | 23.13% (![]() | 39.63% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.8% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.45% (![]() | 36.55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.3% (![]() | 58.7% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.95% (![]() | 20.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.72% (![]() | 52.28% (![]() |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.05% (![]() | 18.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.53% (![]() | 50.47% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Swindon Town |
2-1 @ 8.16% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.11% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.16% Total : 37.24% | 1-1 @ 10.15% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.79% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.02% ( ![]() Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 8.45% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.32% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.68% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 3.52% Total : 39.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |