Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Swindon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newport 2-4 Man Utd
Sunday, January 28 at 4.30pm in FA Cup
Sunday, January 28 at 4.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Swindon 2-0 Bradford
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.32%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Swindon Town |
37.24% ( 0.59) | 23.13% ( -0.16) | 39.63% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 64.8% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
