FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 28, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
2 - 4
Man Utd

Morris (36'), Evans (47')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Fernandes (7'), Mainoo (13'), Antony (68'), Hojlund (90+4')
Casemiro (72')

Erik ten Hag says he will "deal with" Marcus Rashford issue

Manchester United head coach Erik ten Hag says that he will "deal with" the latest issue surrounding Marcus Rashford.

Jan 28, 20:27

Manchester United's Antony on January 28, 2024

Erik ten Hag praises Antony for showing "end product"

Manchester United boss Erik ten Hag praises Antony for providing "end product" during Sunday's FA Cup fourth-round contest with Newport County.

Jan 28, 21:01

Antony vows to "build on" positive display against Newport County

Manchester United forward Antony vows to "build on" his positive performance against Newport County in the FA Cup.

Jan 29, 20:51

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Newport 1-0 Wrexham
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Manchester United

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Man Utd 2-2 Spurs
Sunday, January 14 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Manchester United
27.21% ( 0.22)	23.08% ( 0.16)	49.7% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 60.23% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.43% (

-0.57)

40.56% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.05% (

-0.58)

62.94% (

0.58)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.15% (

-0.14)

27.85% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.54% (

-0.18)

63.45% (

0.17)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.48% (

-0.35)

16.51% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.75% (

-0.63)

46.25% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Newport County 27.21%

Manchester United 49.7%

Draw 23.08%

Newport County	Draw	Manchester United
2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.8% Total : 27.21%	1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.08%	1-2 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.39% Total : 49.7%