League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newport1 - 0Wrexham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-3 Newport
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Newport County 0-1 Wrexham
Not since October 7 have Newport fallen short in a League Two home fixture, but the Exiles still possess a tendency to ship goals at Rodney Parade - conceding in 11 of their 13 such matches so far - and FA Cup tiredness may also come into play for the hosts. Wrexham's shortcomings on the road - especially offensively - means that Newport should still give the title-chasers a good run for their money, and only one goal may separate the two sides on Saturday, but Parkinson's team should be the ones to score it. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Wrexham |
36.11% ( -0.3) | 25.22% ( -0.08) | 38.66% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 56.9% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.26% ( 0.34) | 46.74% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.99% ( 0.32) | 69% ( -0.33) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.74% ( -0.01) | 25.25% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.99% ( -0.01) | 60.01% ( 0.01) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( 0.35) | 23.87% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.93% ( 0.51) | 58.07% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
Newport County 36.11%
Wrexham 38.66%
Draw 25.22%
| Newport County | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 36.11% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2% Total : 38.66% |
How you voted: Newport vs Wrexham
Newport County
33.3%Draw
11.1%Wrexham
55.6%18
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Dec 11, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round Replays
Newport
4-0
Wrexham
Dec 1, 2018 8pm
