MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 12:43:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Wrexham AFC

Swindon
0 - 1
Wrexham


Austin (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McClean (13')
Jones (70')
Jones (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Newport
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-2 Wrexham

 Although Wrexham have not been quite as sharp in the attacking third at home, they are going up against a side struggling to get back into form, and we believe the counter-pressing of the visitors will be able to create the opening they need to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 37.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawWrexham
38.96% (0.312 0.31) 23.46% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 37.57% (-0.35 -0.35)
Both teams to score 63.56% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.84% (-0.153 -0.15)38.15% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.57% (-0.161 -0.16)60.42% (0.149 0.15)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.05% (0.076000000000008 0.08)19.94% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.9% (0.13 0.13)52.09% (-0.144 -0.14)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (-0.238 -0.24)20.6% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (-0.368 -0.37)53.14% (0.356 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 38.96%
    Wrexham 37.57%
    Draw 23.45%
Swindon TownDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.62% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.34% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 2.87% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 38.96%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.11% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.35% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 37.57%

How you voted: Swindon vs Wrexham

Swindon Town
10.0%
Draw
10.0%
Wrexham
80.0%
20
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Wrexham
5-5
Swindon
Bickerstaff (29'), Lee (51' pen., 90+6'), Jones (55', 90+2')
Boyle (76')
Young (17', 34'), Austin (27'), Kemp (31', 71')
Brewitt (20'), Kemp (56'), Blake-Tracy (64')
> Preview
Jan 13, 2007 3pm
Swindon
2-1
Wrexham
Zaaboub (9'), Roberts (71' pen.)
Weston (55')
Williams (8')
Mitchell (37'), Roche (56'), Spender (63')
Sep 9, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
2-1
Swindon
Valentine (68' pen.), Jones (69')
Williams (27'), Roche (34')
Evans (28')
Brown (58'), Brezovan (69'), Peacock (79')
Mar 19, 2005 3pm
Swindon
4-2
Wrexham
Smith (80'), Parkin (40', 76', 90' pen.)
Sam (32'), Ugarte (16')
Llewellyn (84')
Aug 7, 2004 3pm
Wrexham
2-1
Swindon
Lawrence (24'), Armstrong (73' pen.)
Holt (66'), Ferguson (89')

Gurney (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall31196659342563
2AFC Wimbledon30167743202355
3Bradford CityBradford31159740281254
4Notts County30158747291853
5Port Vale30141063932752
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster3115794539652
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe32121373631549
8Salford City3113993830848
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348
10Chesterfield301191049371242
11Bromley31101294140142
12Colchester UnitedColchester3091473530541
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham30118114043-341
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood301010103936340
15Newport CountyNewport31117134147-640
16MK Dons31116144444039
17Swindon TownSwindon32911124648-238
18BarrowBarrow31107143436-237
19Gillingham3097142633-734
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3296172642-1633
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3079143448-1430
22Tranmere RoversTranmere31610152249-2728
23Morecambe3175192948-1926
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3157192349-2622
> League Two Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!