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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Newport County

Wrexham
2 - 0
Newport

Jones (64'), Lee (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wildig (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Colchester
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Newport County

The Wrexham style often leaves them vulnerable at the back, but there is so much depth in the attack that we believe they will once again find a way to counteract that flaw against Newport. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 57.96%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 21.4% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 1-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawNewport County
57.96% (-0.253 -0.25) 20.63% (0.108 0.11) 21.4% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 62.12% (-0.178 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.96% (-0.33 -0.33)35.04% (0.328 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.97% (-0.369 -0.37)57.03% (0.365 0.37)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.02% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)11.98% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.61% (-0.37 -0.37)37.39% (0.367 0.37)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)29.43% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.58% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)65.42% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 57.96%
    Newport County 21.4%
    Draw 20.63%
WrexhamDrawNewport County
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.94% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.073 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.87% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.2% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.64% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 57.96%
1-1 @ 9.15% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.52% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.63%
1-2 @ 5.6% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.31% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.64% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 21.4%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Newport

Wrexham
84.2%
Draw
0.0%
Newport County
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round Replays
Newport
4-0
Wrexham
Amond (49'), Matt (59'), Carrington (65' og.), Butler (90')
Butler (16'), Pipe (56')

Pearson (16'), Lainton (16'), Fondop-Talom (81')
Young (12')
Dec 1, 2018 8pm
Second Round
Wrexham
0-0
Newport
Walker (65')
Sheehan (39'), O'Brien (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BarrowBarrow7511113816
2Gillingham7511102816
3Walsall7502114715
4Notts County7421147714
5AFC Wimbledon641194513
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster7412119213
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe741277013
8Bradford CityBradford732297211
9Port Vale73221110111
10Chesterfield723210649
11Colchester UnitedColchester7232121029
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood62318719
13Salford City723246-29
14Grimsby Town7304912-39
15Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
16Newport CountyNewport73041015-59
17Bromley7214911-27
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham7214911-27
19MK Dons721469-37
20Harrogate TownHarrogate7214610-47
21Swindon TownSwindon7133710-36
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle7205814-66
23Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
24Morecambe7025510-52


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