MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 12:31:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Newport County

Wrexham
2 - 0
Newport

Jones (64'), Lee (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wildig (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Colchester
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Newport County

The Wrexham style often leaves them vulnerable at the back, but there is so much depth in the attack that we believe they will once again find a way to counteract that flaw against Newport. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 57.96%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 21.4% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 1-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawNewport County
57.96% (-0.253 -0.25) 20.63% (0.108 0.11) 21.4% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 62.12% (-0.178 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.96% (-0.33 -0.33)35.04% (0.328 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.97% (-0.369 -0.37)57.03% (0.365 0.37)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.02% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)11.98% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.61% (-0.37 -0.37)37.39% (0.367 0.37)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)29.43% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.58% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)65.42% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 57.96%
    Newport County 21.4%
    Draw 20.63%
WrexhamDrawNewport County
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.94% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.073 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.87% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.2% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.64% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 57.96%
1-1 @ 9.15% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.52% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.63%
1-2 @ 5.6% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.31% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.64% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 21.4%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Newport

Wrexham
84.2%
Draw
0.0%
Newport County
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round Replays
Newport
4-0
Wrexham
Amond (49'), Matt (59'), Carrington (65' og.), Butler (90')
Butler (16'), Pipe (56')

Pearson (16'), Lainton (16'), Fondop-Talom (81')
Young (12')
Dec 1, 2018 8pm
Second Round
Wrexham
0-0
Newport
Walker (65')
Sheehan (39'), O'Brien (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall31196659342563
2AFC Wimbledon30167743202355
3Bradford CityBradford31159740281254
4Notts County30158747291853
5Port Vale30141063932752
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster3115794539652
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe32121373631549
8Salford City3113993830848
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348
10Chesterfield301191049371242
11Bromley31101294140142
12Colchester UnitedColchester3091473530541
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham30118114043-341
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood301010103936340
15Newport CountyNewport31117134147-640
16MK Dons31116144444039
17Swindon TownSwindon32911124648-238
18BarrowBarrow31107143436-237
19Gillingham3097142633-734
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3296172642-1633
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3079143448-1430
22Tranmere RoversTranmere31610152249-2728
23Morecambe3175192948-1926
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3157192349-2622


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