FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Replays

Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Hive Stadium

Barnet
1 - 4
Newport

Pritchard (37')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Payne (6'), Bogle (13'), Collinge (25' og.), Palmer-Houlden (76')
Payne (19'), Charsley (86'), McLoughlin (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Barnet and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnet

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Newport 1-1 Barnet
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newport County

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Tranmere 2-1 Newport
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Barnet 1-2 Newport County

The first meeting between the two sides last weekend was a tight affair, and we are expecting this match to follow suit. A case can be made for both to win it, but we just have a feeling that Newport County will be able to edge a close contest in order to advance to the third round of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Barnet	Draw	Newport County
46.94% ( 0)	23.21%	29.84% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 61.79% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.63% (

-0.01)

39.37% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.29% (

-0.01)

61.71% (

0.01)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.91% (

-0)

17.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.72% (

-0)

47.28%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.53% (

-0.01)

25.46% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.7% (

-0.01)

60.3% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Barnet 46.94%

Newport County 29.84%

Draw 23.21%

Barnet	Draw	Newport County
2-1 @ 9.29% 1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.47% 3-0 @ 4% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 4.12% Total : 46.94%	1-1 @ 10.51% 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.21%	1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.95% 0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.48% Total : 29.84%