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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Gillingham

Wrexham
2 - 0
Gillingham

Palmer (1'), Tozer (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Gillingham

Goals have been at a premium for Gillingham away from home so far this season, but they will hope to have more joy in the final third against a leaky Wrexham backline on Saturday. The Red Dragons should ultimately have enough quality in attack to outscore their opponents, though, en route to claiming maximum points in Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawGillingham
56.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 21.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 21.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 58.98% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.78% (0.0019999999999953 0)39.22% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.45%61.55% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.38% (0.0019999999999953 0)13.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.77% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.27% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)31.72% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.85% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)68.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 56.96%
    Gillingham 21.5%
    Draw 21.53%
WrexhamDrawGillingham
2-1 @ 9.86%
1-0 @ 8.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.76%
4-1 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.84%
4-2 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 56.96%
1-1 @ 9.89%
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.32%
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.53%
1-2 @ 5.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.96%
0-2 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 21.5%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Gillingham

Wrexham
100%
Draw
0.0%
Gillingham
0.0%
15
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall31196659342563
2AFC Wimbledon30167743202355
3Bradford CityBradford31159740281254
4Notts County30158747291853
5Port Vale30141063932752
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster3115794539652
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe32121373631549
8Salford City3113993830848
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348
10Chesterfield301191049371242
11Bromley31101294140142
12Colchester UnitedColchester3091473530541
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham30118114043-341
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood301010103936340
15Newport CountyNewport31117134147-640
16MK Dons31116144444039
17Swindon TownSwindon32911124648-238
18BarrowBarrow31107143436-237
19Gillingham3097142633-734
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3296172642-1633
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3079143448-1430
22Tranmere RoversTranmere31610152249-2728
23Morecambe3175192948-1926
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3157192349-2622


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