We said: Wrexham 2-2 Barrow
Six of the last eight meetings between these two teams has resulted in a draw, and this one could end up that way as well.
Given the form Wrexham and Barrow are in at home and away respectively, and how close things are in the table, we expect a spirited affair on Monday, though we do not believe either will have a decisive edge.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 47.99%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.