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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Barrow

Crewe
1 - 3
Barrow

Nevitt (58')
Nevitt (40'), Baker-Richardson (64'), Demetriou (66'), Thomas (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Whitfield (27', 76'), Garner (50' pen.)
Spence (34'), White (61'), Farman (84'), Gotts (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crewe 3-3 Accrington
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Barrow

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-3 Barrow
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-1 Barrow

 It is the third-best home record in the division this season meeting the strongest away from home, so it is shaping up to be a fascinating affair. Both managers will be wary of losing, which could create a cagey match, and we are expecting the points to be shared on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawBarrow
26.71% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 23.68% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 49.61% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Both teams to score 57.73% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.32% (0.055 0.05)43.67% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.93% (0.055 0.05)66.07% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.16% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)29.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)65.93% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28% (0.055000000000007 0.06)17.71% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.62% (0.096000000000004 0.1)48.38% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 26.71%
    Barrow 49.61%
    Draw 23.68%
Crewe AlexandraDrawBarrow
2-1 @ 6.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 26.71%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 9.58% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.92% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.52% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.57% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.39% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.45% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 49.61%

How you voted: Crewe vs Barrow

Crewe Alexandra
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Barrow
57.1%
14
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Crewe
3-0
Barrow
Agyei (14' pen., 33' pen.), Long (89')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Barrow
3-0
Crewe
Waters (8'), Gordon (43', 60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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