League Two

League Two | Gameweek 22

Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
3 - 3
Accrington

Rowe (4'), Demetriou (29'), Nevitt (90+8')
Tracey (45'), Thomas (51'), Nevitt (90+9')
Offord (80')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Nolan (6'), Woods (87'), Woods (90+6')
Martin (71'), Hills (90+9')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Accrington Stanley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crewe 2-4 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Accrington 1-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, December 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Accrington Stanley
35.06% ( -0.17)	24.28% ( -0.07)	40.66% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 60.15% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.53% (

0.28)

42.46% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.13% (

0.28)

64.86% (

-0.29)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.14% (

0.03)

23.85% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.95% (

0.05)

58.04% (

-0.06)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.99% (

0.23)

21% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.22% (

0.36)

53.77% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 35.06%

Accrington Stanley 40.66%

Draw 24.27%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Accrington Stanley
2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.06%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.27%	1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 40.66%