Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.