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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
47.53% ( 0.03) | 24.08% ( -0.03) | 28.38% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.7% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.67% ( 0.14) | 44.33% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.3% ( 0.13) | 66.7% ( -0.13) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.22% ( 0.06) | 18.78% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.81% ( 0.1) | 50.19% ( -0.1) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.04% ( 0.07) | 28.96% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.15% ( 0.09) | 64.85% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 47.53% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 28.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | BarrowBarrow | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Gillingham | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Walsall | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Notts County | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 13 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
9 | Port Vale | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
10 | Chesterfield | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
11 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
13 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Grimsby Town | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
17 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
19 | MK Dons | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 6 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
24 | Morecambe | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2 |
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