Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.