FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Wrexham
Shrewsbury play a league higher than Wrexham and will also have home advantage on Sunday, but we fancy the Welsh outfit to triumph here. Wrexham have so much quality in the forward positions, and Parkinson's team will fancy their chances of advancing to the fourth round of the tournament.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 47.45% . A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.46%) . The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 (7.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result Shrewsbury Town Draw Wrexham 28.63% 23.91% 47.45% ( -0)
Both teams to score 58.49%
56.62% 43.38% ( -0)
34.23% 65.77% ( -0)
71.71% 28.29% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 35.99% 64.01% ( -0)
81.56% ( -0) 18.44%
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 50.38% ( -0) 49.62%
Shrewsbury Town 28.64%
Wrexham 47.45%
Draw 23.91%
Shrewsbury Town Draw Wrexham 2-1 @ 7.03% 1-0 @ 6.59% 2-0 @ 4.16% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.71% Total : 28.64% 1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.91% 1-2 @ 9.41% 0-1 @ 8.82% 0-2 @ 7.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.31% 0-3 @ 4.2% 2-3 @ 3.35% 1-4 @ 2.24% 0-4 @ 1.78% 2-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.48% Total : 47.45%
How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Wrexham
Shrewsbury Town
Draw
Wrexham
80
rhs 2.0
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