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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 22.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
22.94% ( -0.22) | 24.69% ( 0.07) | 52.37% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 50.58% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.73% ( -0.51) | 51.27% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.9% ( -0.45) | 73.1% ( 0.45) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.87% ( -0.49) | 37.13% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.08% ( -0.49) | 73.92% ( 0.49) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.45% ( -0.14) | 19.55% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.54% ( -0.23) | 51.46% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.71% Total : 22.94% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.26% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 52.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |