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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 19.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.
Result | ||
Blackpool | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
58.43% ( -1.14) | 22.45% ( 0.45) | 19.12% ( 0.68) |
Both teams to score 52% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.38% ( -0.93) | 46.62% ( 0.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.11% ( -0.88) | 68.89% ( 0.88) |
Blackpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.36% ( -0.69) | 15.64% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.35% ( -1.29) | 44.65% ( 1.29) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.64% ( 0.21) | 38.36% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.88% ( 0.21) | 75.12% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Blackpool | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.33% Total : 58.43% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.45% | 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 19.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |