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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.
Result | ||
Blackpool | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
59.48% ( 1.11) | 22.29% ( -0.32) | 18.23% ( -0.79) |
Both teams to score 50.92% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.74% ( 0.18) | 47.26% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.51% ( 0.17) | 69.49% ( -0.17) |
Blackpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.49% ( 0.43) | 15.51% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.59% ( 0.8) | 44.41% ( -0.81) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.27% ( -0.78) | 39.73% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.6% ( -0.73) | 76.4% ( 0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Blackpool | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.3% Total : 59.47% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.12% Total : 18.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 16 |
3 | Barnsley | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
9 | Blackpool | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
13 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
14 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
15 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
16 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
17 | Reading | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Crawley TownCrawley | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
19 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Burton Albion | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |