League One

League One | Gameweek 13

Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
0 - 3
Portsmouth

Bowie (47')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Raggett (11'), Lane (26', 48')
Norris (22')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Blackpool 1-2 Northampton
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portsmouth

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Portsmouth

Portsmouth will be looking to claim all three points to help in their promotion fight, but we think that they may be held to a draw by Saturday's hosts, who are unbeaten in four home league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Portsmouth
29.59% ( 0.07)	26.74% ( 0.09)	43.67% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 49.95% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.21% (

-0.3)

54.79% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.9% (

-0.25)

76.1% (

0.25)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.52% (

-0.1)

33.48% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.88% (

-0.11)

70.12% (

0.11)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.09% (

-0.21)

24.91% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.46% (

-0.3)

59.53% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 29.59%

Portsmouth 43.67%

Draw 26.74%

Northampton Town	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 29.59%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 43.67%