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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Bradford City |
35.12% ( -0) | 24.39% ( -0) | 40.48% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 59.74% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57% ( 0) | 43% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.6% ( 0) | 65.4% ( -0.01) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.93% ( -0) | 24.07% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.65% | 58.35% ( -0) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.68% ( 0) | 21.32% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.73% ( 0) | 54.27% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Bradford City |
2-1 @ 8.04% 1-0 @ 7.31% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.92% Total : 35.12% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.13% 1-3 @ 4.5% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.2% 0-3 @ 3.16% 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.64% Total : 40.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |